OrbitGuard
14:32:00UTC

MNV-0912 · COSMOS 2251 DEB

OG-2 Meridian-2 — in-track burn, proposed

Delta-v0.34m/s
Propellant0.049kg
Axisin-track
Scheduledin 3h 00m
Statusproposed

Solution generated. No operator has committed it.

Effect on the event

Pc before4.7×10−4
Pc after8.2×10−8
Conjunction
CJ-4471
Spacecraft
OG-2 Meridian-2
Secondary
COSMOS 2251 DEB
Operator
—
Burn time
2026-08-01 17:32:00Z
Upload pass
Svalbard (SG-1)
Duration
44 s

Propellant cost

This burn0.049kg
Remaining4.82kg
SK runway1.4yr
4.771 kg after burnreserve 2.2 · capacity 12.4 kg

Orbit response

Gauss variational · Clohessy–Wiltshire
Δ semi-major axis616.3m
Δ period0.764s
Δ eccentricity8.9e-5
Drift per orbit5.808km
Along-track at TCA (6.2h lead)22.88km

An in-track burn separates by changing the orbital period, so displacement grows as Δx = 3·Δv·t. Lead time, not delta-v, is what buys miss distance — the same burn an hour later is worth proportionally less.

B-plane projection19.5%

Only the component of that displacement perpendicular to the 14.81 km/s relative velocity lies in the encounter plane and changes miss distance; the rest changes arrival time. At 11.2° off the relative-velocity vector, 22.9 km of drift becomes 4.46 km of additional separation.

Propulsion

Tsiolkovsky
Specific impulse220s
Thrust2.400N
Vehicle mass312.4kg
Propellant0.0492kg
Burn duration44s
Mass fraction1.6e-4
System
Hydrazine monopropellant, 4x0.6N
Δv capability remaining
18.2 m/s
Avoidance burns of this size left
53

Burn is short relative to the orbital period, so the impulsive approximation used above holds.

Downstream conjunctions

4 affected
EventSecondaryTCAPc beforePc afterEffect
CJ-4471COSMOS 2251 DEB34454T+9.2h4.7×10−48.2×10−8resolved
CJ-4489SL-16 R/B DEB23705T+34.1h—3.3×10−6created
CJ-4491FENGYUN 1C DEB29275T+51.2h—1.1×10−6created
CJ-4463COSMOS 2251 DEB34871T+61.4h5.2×10−61.1×10−7improved