OrbitGuard
14:32:00UTC

CJ-4465 · SL-8 R/B

OG-5 Halcyon vs NORAD 16182 — rocket body

Probability of collision6.8×10−5
Time to closest approachT−33:01:48
Decision window1d 1h
Miss distance1.240km
Statecautionflat

Screening campaign

14 CDMs · ±1σ band
10⁻²10⁻³10⁻⁴10⁻⁵10⁻⁶10⁻⁷action thresholddecision deadlineNOWT−72hT−60hT−48hT−36hT−24hT−12hTCA

Encounter geometry

Radial0.412km
In-track1.090km
Cross-track0.481km
Relative velocity9.16km/s

Record

Secondary
16182
Screening source
LeoLabs Radar Network
Last CDM
12m ago
CDMs received
14
TCA (UTC)
2026-08-02 23:33:48Z
Decision deadline
2026-08-02 15:32:00Z
Secondary RCS
4.710 m²
Current ±1σ
0.66 decades

Maneuver planner

3 downstream
Proposed burnOG-5 · Halcyon
Delta-v0.18m/s
Propellant0.028kg
Axisin-track
Burn duration25s
Execute
2026-08-02 12:32:00Z
Upload pass
Punta Arenas (PA-2) · T−21:06:00
Effect on CJ-4465
Pc now6.8×10−5
Pc after9.4×10−8
Miss now1.240km
Miss after6.120km
Station-keeping budget7.0 yr runway
9.852 kg after burnreserve 2.2 · capacity 12.4 kg
Downstream conjunctions3 affected
  • SL-8 R/Bresolved
    CJ-4465 · T+33.0h6.9×10−59.4×10−8
  • UNCHARACTERIZED OBJECTworsened
    CJ-4451 · T+64.0h3.3×10−58.7×10−5
  • ARIANE 40 DEBcreated
    CJ-4494 · T+58.9h—1.4×10−6

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