OrbitGuard
14:32:00UTC

CJ-4459 · IRIDIUM 33 DEB

OG-1 Meridian-1 vs NORAD 33759 — debris

Probability of collision5.0×10−5
Time to closest approachT−52:12:00
Decision window1d 20h
Miss distance1.710km
Statecautionfalling

Screening campaign

9 CDMs · ±1σ band
10⁻²10⁻³10⁻⁴10⁻⁵10⁻⁶10⁻⁷action thresholddecision deadlineNOWT−72hT−60hT−48hT−36hT−24hT−12hTCA

Encounter geometry

Radial0.502km
In-track1.600km
Cross-track0.334km
Relative velocity12.07km/s

Record

Secondary
33759
Screening source
18 SDS · Space-Track
Last CDM
46m ago
CDMs received
9
TCA (UTC)
2026-08-03 18:44:00Z
Decision deadline
2026-08-03 10:32:00Z
Secondary RCS
0.058 m²
Current ±1σ
0.88 decades

Maneuver planner

3 downstream
Proposed burnOG-1 · Meridian-1
Delta-v0.12m/s
Propellant0.018kg
Axisradial
Burn duration16s
Execute
2026-08-03 07:32:00Z
Upload pass
Fairbanks (KSAT) · T−40:06:00
Effect on CJ-4459
Pc now5.0×10−5
Pc after1.3×10−7
Miss now1.710km
Miss after5.440km
Station-keeping budget2.1 yr runway
6.122 kg after burnreserve 2.2 · capacity 12.4 kg
Downstream conjunctions3 affected
  • IRIDIUM 33 DEBresolved
    CJ-4459 · T+52.2h6.4×10−51.3×10−7
  • THORAD AGENA D DEBcreated
    CJ-4496 · T+70.2h—2.4×10−6
  • COSMOS 2251 DEBcreated
    CJ-4497 · T+66.8h—8.1×10−7

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