OrbitGuard
14:32:00UTC

CJ-4455 · COSMOS 1408 DEB

OG-4 Sentinel-B vs NORAD 49271 — debris

Probability of collision8.0×10−6
Time to closest approachT−58:24:00
Decision window2d 2h
Miss distance3.420km
Statenominalfalling

Screening campaign

7 CDMs · ±1σ band
10⁻²10⁻³10⁻⁴10⁻⁵10⁻⁶10⁻⁷action thresholddecision deadlineNOWT−72hT−60hT−48hT−36hT−24hT−12hTCA

Encounter geometry

Radial1.140km
In-track3.190km
Cross-track0.620km
Relative velocity11.38km/s

Record

Secondary
49271
Screening source
ESA SST
Last CDM
3h 34m ago
CDMs received
7
TCA (UTC)
2026-08-04 00:56:00Z
Decision deadline
2026-08-03 16:32:00Z
Secondary RCS
0.011 m²
Current ±1σ
0.73 decades

Maneuver planner

2 downstream
Proposed burnOG-4 · Sentinel-B
Delta-v0.07m/s
Propellant0.001kg
Axiscross-track
Burn duration1328s
Execute
2026-08-03 13:32:00Z
Upload pass
Punta Arenas (PA-2) · T−46:12:00
Effect on CJ-4455
Pc now8.0×10−6
Pc after3.8×10−8
Miss now3.420km
Miss after7.020km
Station-keeping budget7.1 yr runway
3.659 kg after burnreserve 0.8 · capacity 5.0 kg
Downstream conjunctions2 affected
  • COSMOS 1408 DEBresolved
    CJ-4455 · T+58.4h9.3×10−63.8×10−8
  • FENGYUN 1C DEBcreated
    CJ-4498 · T+71.1h—1.2×10−6

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